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”Was it was a good move on Mizner’s part? Perhaps, but when it comes to the game of craps, my advice remains the same: Never hedge your bets. But if you followed trusted lines rather than most of the polls in the 2012 presidential race you knew the results well ahead of November 4th – much to the chagrin of the losing side.In 1933, Wilson Mizner lay dying....

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What you are doing is taking a high-house-edge bet on the hard 4 or 10 (the hard 4 and 10 carry a casino advantage of 11.4%, lower by laying odds) of higher quality. Usually, though, both investments won’t go south on you simultaneously....

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You cannot protect yourself “here” without being hurt “there. Overall pollsters are still giving Hillary Clinton favorable odds of besting both fields to take the office of President of the United States – but the race is wide open with multiple variables. The logic here is analogous to diversifying your investment portfolio by buying bonds to “protect” against losses that you might experience in the stock market....

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Every bet on the crap layout has a negative expectation.If history is any indicator, Bovada appears to be the crystal ball for November. As of this morning Clinton is even to take the presidency and Rubio is -150 to Trump’s +160....

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There is also enough variance in the early field that you could treat the primaries like propositions and hedge your bets once the momentum has gelled later in the primaries.4%, lower by laying odds) of higher quality.If history is any indicator, Bovada appears to be the crystal ball for November....